Marquette Law School Poll: October 21 - 25, 2020

Likely voters

This file contains likely voter crosstabulations of each non-demographic question with variables for sex, age, education, income, party identification with leaning independents, party identification without leaners, marital status, race and ethnicity, religious service attendance, religious affiliation, born again or evangelical identification, political ideology, and region of the state. To calculate the numeric size of a response, multiply the percent by the subsample size, indicated in the “n” column. Statistics for very small samples (such as “Don’t Know” responses) have very high margins of error and should be disregarded.

Q1: Follow politics

Some people seem to follow what's going on in politics most of the time, whether there's an election going on or not. Others aren't that interested. Would you say you follow what's going on in politics most of the time, some of the time, only now and then, or hardly at all?
Most of the time Some of the time Only now and then Hardly at all Don't know Refused n
sex
Male 71 20 3 5 0 0 351
Female 68 23 5 4 0 0 398
age
18-29 58 25 8 8 2 0 101
30-44 60 25 6 9 0 0 166
45-59 72 22 3 3 0 0 184
60+ 76 18 2 2 0 1 293
education
Not HS 47 29 4 11 0 9 19
HS 65 23 5 6 0 0 186
Some Coll 63 28 5 3 1 0 146
AA 70 23 5 2 0 0 95
BA+ 76 16 3 5 0 0 294
income
Under $40k 65 22 7 6 0 0 204
$40k to $74k 71 21 4 2 1 1 190
$75k up 75 19 2 4 0 0 258
party ID, leaners as independents
Republican 75 15 5 4 1 0 228
Independent 66 24 5 4 0 1 290
Democrat 70 23 2 5 0 0 221
Other/None 26 70 0 4 0 0 10
party ID, leaners separate
Rep 75 15 5 4 1 0 228
Lean Rep 63 30 2 4 0 1 111
Ind 60 26 3 10 0 0 63
Lean Dem 72 18 8 2 0 0 116
Dem 70 23 2 5 0 0 221
Other/None 26 70 0 4 0 0 10
party ID, leaners as partisans
Republican 71 20 4 4 0 0 339
Independent 60 26 3 10 0 0 63
Democrat 70 21 4 4 0 0 337
Other/None 26 70 0 4 0 0 10
marital status
Married 69 24 3 3 0 0 467
Widow/Div/Sep 76 15 5 4 0 0 160
Never Married 62 21 5 11 1 0 117
NA/Ref 86 14 0 0 0 0 5
race and ethnicity
White 71 21 4 4 0 0 644
Black 66 17 8 9 0 0 28
Hispanic 55 25 0 20 0 0 21
Other 54 34 4 7 0 0 38
religious service attendance
More than once a week 69 25 4 2 0 0 50
Once a week 70 23 3 4 1 0 205
Once or twice a month 71 23 3 3 0 0 96
A few times a year 64 19 7 10 0 0 124
Seldom 69 23 5 3 0 0 102
Never 73 19 4 4 0 0 159
Don't know 100 0 0 0 0 0 2
Refused 37 48 0 0 0 15 11
religious preference
Born again Protestant 63 22 8 5 1 1 127
Mainline Protestant 71 24 3 2 0 0 199
Roman Catholic 70 21 4 5 0 0 227
No religion 74 17 3 6 0 0 117
Other religion 69 11 7 13 0 0 42
ideology
Very conservative 88 6 2 4 0 0 62
Conservative 70 20 4 4 1 1 238
Moderate 61 30 5 5 0 0 260
Liberal 76 19 1 4 0 0 109
Very liberal 83 7 4 5 0 0 59
Don't know 50 29 0 21 0 0 14
Refused 16 84 0 0 0 0 7
labor union membership
respondent 63 33 4 1 0 0 61
another household member 55 33 12 0 0 0 37
nobody in household 71 20 3 5 0 0 646
Don't know 53 0 47 0 0 0 4
Refused 60 40 0 0 0 0 2
region of Wisconsin
MKE City 64 23 4 10 0 0 59
Rest of MKE 70 23 2 5 0 0 244
MSN 76 20 1 3 0 0 132
GB/A 68 22 6 4 0 0 145
Rest of state 66 21 7 4 1 1 169

Q2: Chances of voting

What are the chances that you will vote in the November 2020 general election for president, Congress, and other offices -- are you absolutely certain to vote, very likely to vote, are the chances 50-50, don't you think you will vote, or have you already voted either by absentee ballot or early in person voting?
Absolutely certain Already voted n
sex
Male 65 35 351
Female 49 51 398
age
18-29 60 40 101
30-44 68 32 166
45-59 65 35 184
60+ 42 58 293
education
Not HS 47 53 19
HS 61 39 186
Some Coll 59 41 146
AA 59 41 95
BA+ 50 50 294
income
Under $40k 57 43 204
$40k to $74k 54 46 190
$75k up 59 41 258
party ID, leaners as independents
Republican 69 31 228
Independent 59 41 290
Democrat 39 61 221
Other/None 61 39 10
party ID, leaners separate
Rep 69 31 228
Lean Rep 81 19 111
Ind 51 49 63
Lean Dem 43 57 116
Dem 39 61 221
Other/None 61 39 10
party ID, leaners as partisans
Republican 73 27 339
Independent 51 49 63
Democrat 40 60 337
Other/None 61 39 10
marital status
Married 57 43 467
Widow/Div/Sep 52 48 160
Never Married 57 43 117
NA/Ref 94 6 5
race and ethnicity
White 56 44 644
Black 40 60 28
Hispanic 56 44 21
Other 59 41 38
religious service attendance
More than once a week 51 49 50
Once a week 51 49 205
Once or twice a month 61 39 96
A few times a year 62 38 124
Seldom 64 36 102
Never 53 47 159
Don't know 33 67 2
Refused 52 48 11
religious preference
Born again Protestant 71 29 127
Mainline Protestant 51 49 199
Roman Catholic 55 45 227
No religion 53 47 117
Other religion 45 55 42
ideology
Very conservative 63 37 62
Conservative 70 30 238
Moderate 50 50 260
Liberal 38 62 109
Very liberal 47 53 59
Don't know 57 43 14
Refused 76 24 7
labor union membership
respondent 74 26 61
another household member 57 43 37
nobody in household 54 46 646
Don't know 80 20 4
Refused 100 0 2
region of Wisconsin
MKE City 45 55 59
Rest of MKE 51 49 244
MSN 57 43 132
GB/A 63 37 145
Rest of state 61 39 169

Q3: Economy over last year

Over the past year, do you feel the economy has gotten better, gotten worse, or stayed about the same?
Gotten better Gotten worse Stayed the same Don't know Refused n
sex
Male 27 51 19 2 0 351
Female 22 56 20 2 0 398
age
18-29 26 47 24 2 0 101
30-44 15 61 23 1 0 166
45-59 29 55 14 1 0 184
60+ 25 52 19 3 0 293
education
Not HS 46 38 16 0 0 19
HS 28 46 23 2 0 186
Some Coll 23 54 22 1 1 146
AA 14 55 28 3 0 95
BA+ 24 60 13 3 0 294
income
Under $40k 18 51 27 4 0 204
$40k to $74k 23 55 19 2 0 190
$75k up 26 59 15 0 0 258
party ID, leaners as independents
Republican 43 30 23 3 0 228
Independent 21 57 20 2 0 290
Democrat 8 75 15 1 0 221
Other/None 60 25 6 10 0 10
party ID, leaners separate
Rep 43 30 23 3 0 228
Lean Rep 44 33 24 0 0 111
Ind 12 67 19 2 0 63
Lean Dem 4 76 17 3 0 116
Dem 8 75 15 1 0 221
Other/None 60 25 6 10 0 10
party ID, leaners as partisans
Republican 43 31 23 2 0 339
Independent 12 67 19 2 0 63
Democrat 7 75 16 2 0 337
Other/None 60 25 6 10 0 10
marital status
Married 24 53 21 1 0 467
Widow/Div/Sep 26 55 15 5 0 160
Never Married 22 57 19 2 0 117
NA/Ref 46 42 12 0 0 5
race and ethnicity
White 25 53 20 2 0 644
Black 9 71 20 0 0 28
Hispanic 39 56 5 0 0 21
Other 10 67 21 2 0 38
religious service attendance
More than once a week 31 51 13 5 0 50
Once a week 32 53 13 3 0 205
Once or twice a month 24 42 32 1 1 96
A few times a year 19 56 23 2 0 124
Seldom 21 51 28 0 0 102
Never 17 66 14 3 0 159
Don't know 0 67 33 0 0 2
Refused 58 23 15 4 0 11
religious preference
Born again Protestant 39 43 17 2 0 127
Mainline Protestant 21 52 25 2 0 199
Roman Catholic 24 54 19 4 0 227
No religion 17 68 14 0 0 117
Other religion 14 55 28 3 0 42
ideology
Very conservative 62 19 13 7 0 62
Conservative 36 32 28 3 0 238
Moderate 16 64 19 1 0 260
Liberal 9 80 10 1 0 109
Very liberal 3 83 13 1 0 59
Don't know 8 80 9 3 0 14
Refused 76 7 17 0 0 7
labor union membership
respondent 24 56 18 2 0 61
another household member 24 63 12 1 0 37
nobody in household 24 53 20 2 0 646
Don't know 0 37 63 0 0 4
Refused 100 0 0 0 0 2
region of Wisconsin
MKE City 20 57 19 2 1 59
Rest of MKE 30 46 20 4 0 244
MSN 23 61 15 2 0 132
GB/A 22 58 18 2 0 145
Rest of state 20 56 23 1 0 169

Q4: Economy over next year

Looking ahead, over the next year do you expect the economy to get better, get worse, or stay about the same?
Get better Get worse Stay the same Don't know Refused n
sex
Male 50 14 18 17 0 351
Female 42 10 25 23 0 398
age
18-29 42 17 29 12 0 101
30-44 47 15 18 20 0 166
45-59 46 12 22 20 0 184
60+ 46 10 22 22 0 293
education
Not HS 32 0 22 47 0 19
HS 46 12 18 24 0 186
Some Coll 48 11 19 22 0 146
AA 42 17 27 13 0 95
BA+ 45 13 25 17 0 294
income
Under $40k 46 16 16 21 0 204
$40k to $74k 40 12 24 24 0 190
$75k up 52 12 24 11 0 258
party ID, leaners as independents
Republican 60 6 13 20 0 228
Independent 42 16 22 19 0 290
Democrat 34 14 33 19 0 221
Other/None 30 0 6 64 0 10
party ID, leaners separate
Rep 60 6 13 20 0 228
Lean Rep 57 8 13 22 0 111
Ind 40 19 22 19 0 63
Lean Dem 30 24 29 17 0 116
Dem 34 14 33 19 0 221
Other/None 30 0 6 64 0 10
party ID, leaners as partisans
Republican 59 7 13 20 0 339
Independent 40 19 22 19 0 63
Democrat 33 17 31 19 0 337
Other/None 30 0 6 64 0 10
marital status
Married 47 11 21 21 0 467
Widow/Div/Sep 48 14 20 18 0 160
Never Married 37 16 32 16 0 117
NA/Ref 6 0 22 72 0 5
race and ethnicity
White 46 13 21 19 0 644
Black 36 5 47 13 0 28
Hispanic 52 7 32 9 0 21
Other 46 10 21 23 0 38
religious service attendance
More than once a week 41 3 28 29 0 50
Once a week 47 7 23 23 0 205
Once or twice a month 53 10 23 13 0 96
A few times a year 42 19 19 20 0 124
Seldom 46 17 20 17 0 102
Never 43 16 23 17 0 159
Don't know 24 42 33 0 0 2
Refused 33 0 10 58 0 11
religious preference
Born again Protestant 50 3 19 27 0 127
Mainline Protestant 45 15 25 15 0 199
Roman Catholic 51 11 21 17 0 227
No religion 36 21 23 19 0 117
Other religion 42 11 24 23 1 42
ideology
Very conservative 63 2 8 26 0 62
Conservative 59 8 14 19 0 238
Moderate 35 15 33 17 0 260
Liberal 40 15 25 20 0 109
Very liberal 31 25 25 19 0 59
Don't know 61 9 8 22 0 14
Refused 7 0 0 93 0 7
labor union membership
respondent 46 17 15 22 0 61
another household member 16 23 33 28 0 37
nobody in household 47 11 22 19 0 646
Don't know 47 30 16 6 0 4
Refused 0 0 0 100 0 2
region of Wisconsin
MKE City 48 15 27 11 0 59
Rest of MKE 50 11 19 20 0 244
MSN 43 14 29 15 0 132
GB/A 45 12 22 20 0 145
Rest of state 40 13 21 27 0 169

Q5: Trump’s overall job